Last week I was 23-3, making it 48-5 overall. Some of the good picks were Toledo keeping it close with Ohio State, Oregon starting fast, USC winning a close game with a late Utah mistake, and Denard Robinson winning the game late for Michigan. The bad were Air Force upsetting TCU, Colorado upsetting California, UCLA rolling over San Jose State, and Virginia Tech handily beating East Carolina. The picks will start getting harder as less teams are playing cupcakes.
#3 LSU at #25 Mississippi State - LSU's defense is going to control this game and Mississippi State will really struggle to run the ball. The short week will hurt MSU.
#4 Boise State at Toledo - Yep, I'm picking Toledo to upset a top-5 team. This is on the road, at Toledo, at night. And I just don't think Boise State is that great. Plus they'll be distracted with the recent NCAA punishment.
#18 West Virginia at Maryland - I almost want to pick Maryland here, but I think RB Tavon Austin will have a big return day and QB Geno Smith will throw the ball well in a good win.
#21 Auburn at Clemson - If this was at night, I'd be picking Clemson. But during the day, Death Valley is a lot less scary and Auburn wins another close game.
Eastern Michigan at Michigan - Michigan will blow them out.
Colorado State vs Colorado - After a couple tough losses, Colorado will get their first win of the season.
Louisiana-Monroe at #23 TCU - ULM is coming off a big win over Grambling State, but they also got shut out at FSU. TCU won't shut them out, but they won't score many points.
#7 Wisconsin vs Northern Illinois - Someone finally slows down NIU QB Chandler Harnish, but this won't be a blowout. Wisconsin by a couple touchdowns.
Washington at #11 Nebraska - This will be a high scoring game for Nebraska. It won't be very close.
Missouri State at #12 Oregon - The game will be over before kickoff. Not really, but Oregon will score over 60.
#15 Michigan State at Notre Dame - Michigan State's defense played tough last week, but Notre Dame is much better than Florida Atlantic. ND will rebound from the tough Michigan loss with a win here.
Tennessee at #16 Florida - Tyler Bray is going to have a big game and they'll beat Florida for the first time since 2004.
#23 Texas at UCLA - UCLA had an atrocious showing against San Jose State last week, so I'm picking against them.
Arkansas State at #13 Virginia Tech - This time VT will win it big, unlike last week.
Presbyterian at California - Easy win for Cal.
Navy at #10 South Carolina - Marcus Lattimore will help his Heisman campaign with a big performance against Navy.
Washington State at San Diego State - SDSU struggled against Army last week, but they're a good team and they're at home. RB Ronnie Hillman will be the difference.
Idaho at #9 Texas A&M - QB Ryan Tannehill shouldn't have a problem throwing the ball on Idaho.
Stephen F. Austin at #19 Baylor - Expect QB Robert Griffin III to have a huge day running and throwing the ball.
Florida A&M at #20 South Florida - USF RB Darrell Scott gained 2.8 yards per carry against Notre Dame, and 7.5 against Ball State. It will be closer to 7.5 and he'll go over 100 yards on the way to a victory here.
#22 Arizona State at Illinois - This will be an exciting, close game. ASU WR Aaron Pflugrad will be the difference with a couple big catches.
North Texas at #2 Alabama - North Texas will probably score 10 points (after halftime), but Alabama will walk all over them.
Troy at #14 Arkansas - Arkansas is playing well but Troy put up 423 yards on Clemson. Expect Troy to keep it close for a while but then they'll start turning the ball over and Arkansas will pull away fast.
#17 Ohio State at Miami (FL) - Both teams coming off disappointing performances, but OSU is the better team. On the road, it will be a close win.
#1 Oklahoma at #5 Florida State - FSU's defense has been better than I thought they'd be. They'll need to run the ball to get a win, and Tulsa rushed for 4.2 YPC so I think FSU will be able to. This game being at FSU gives them the win.
Syracuse at USC - Syracuse will not have an answer for WR Robert Woods.
Utah at BYU - This will come down to the last play, and I have to pick Utah to make the play.
#8 Oklahoma State at Tulsa - Tulsa improved last week, but QB Brandon Weeden and WR Justin Blackmon are going to be way too much for them.
#6 Stanford at Arizona - Luck will probably struggle early on, but then find a rhythm and pull away from Arizona.
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